About the Future Today Institute Founded in 2006, the Future Today Institute researches, models and prototypes future risk and opportunity. Even those who write about the way globalization is undermining state authority in many areas generally assume that security is still the realm of governments. The Future of War Conference brings together a collection of experts to address key issues and challenges arising from the changing nature of conflict and war. He is a founder of the Cambridge Centre for the Study of Existential Risk and philanthropically supports other existential risk research organizations such as the Future of Humanity Institute, the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute and the Machine Intelligence Research Institute. The mission of the Institute for Future Warfare Studies (IFWS) is to serve as the focal point for the U.S. It is an institute that was established by senior educational experts in 1991 and it has been a pioneer institute of further education in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. [1] The impetus for this reorientation stems from a combination of factors: These concerns have concentrated the minds of America’s national security leaders in a good way—change is needed. An independent Russian media outlet published documents allegedly detailing Kremlin plans to cement control over Belarus through constitutional changes and a Kremlin-amenable political party in Belarus. Those who support the Modern War Institute proposition, are asking for the rest of us to end up in the same predicament of 1939. The Institute for the Study of War is launching a series of papers that explores the ways the United States, its competitors including Russia and China, and these and other potential adversaries are learning from ongoing geopolitical competition and military engagements. That focus is excessive. IFTF Foresight Talks: The Initiative for Indigenous Futures with Jason Edward Lewis January 14 • 9:00am PT / 12:00pm ET - Free public webinar by IFTF Foresight Essentials Het is onze missie dat niemand taal en cultuur ziet als belemmering om mee te kunnen doen in onze samenleving, dat iedereen meedoet en ertoe doet. Although that view is largely absent in Washington, D.C. today, it has a rich history, from George Washington to Cold War realists like George Kennan. The conference is part of an initiative linking New America, a nonpartisan research public policy institute and civic enterprise, and Arizona State University, one of the nation’s largest public research universities. The views expressed are those of the authors, and do not reflect the official position of the United States Military Academy, Department of the Army, or Department of Defense. A desire to turn away from unpopular unconventional conflicts that seem to drag on interminably; The very real strides China in particular has made (and Russia has claimed to have made) toward fielding conventional military forces that could challenge or even defeat those of the U.S. in some scenarios; The aging and wearing-out of major American weapons systems based mostly on technologies of the 1970s and 1980s; and. Russia and China are aggressively working to understand current conflicts, develop coherent theories about possible future conflicts, test those theories in their own and others’ conflicts, and then refine them and repeat the cycle. #coldwar #anime #retrowave #militarymusic: Carbon Killer - Boltanime: Future War 198X.avi #mauzerwave We commonly associate security with the state and assume that security is a fundamental feature of government. to Future Institute scholars by sponsoring students and programs, volunteering your time, or offering career opportunities. Future War features star Daniel Bernhardt's kickboxing skills in several fight sequences, including against the Cyborg Master (Robert Z'Dar). The only question is when. But the American discourse is falling into its traditional historical pattern in one sense. The Chinese state and military’s coordinated nationwide response to the COVID-19 pandemic tested their national defense mobilization and civil-military fusion strategies. They are alive to the threats of weapons systems still in their infancy such as hypersonics and autonomous systems. They are also thinking deeply about potential cyber attack scenarios far beyond anything the world has yet seen. The U.S. is therefore at risk of losing the military learning race and finding at the start of the next major conflict that, despite having imagined some important developments in conventional war, it is still intellectually, doctrinally, and organizationally unprepared for the war it is in. Return to the Military Learning & Future of War homepage. Building a Better Society. In the 1990s, though, PSCs became more and more involved in the delivery of services: providing logistics services, training, giving operational support, and staffing international police contingents. Katrina showed this country that it wasn’t holding up what it wanted for this world. Key Takeaway: The Turkish military and its proxy forces are likely preparing an offensive against the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) to capture Ayn Issa. The regime’s attacks occurred in phases and were part of an orchestrated campaign to achieve Tehran’s strategic objectives, including sanctions relief and the ouster of the U.S. from Iraq and the region. Turkey likely capitalized on the Russian withdrawal from Ayn Issa to increase its bombardment of SDF positions ahead of an intended ground assault. Welcome to Future Institute. Future Warfare: The Rise of Hybrid Wars. ISW seeks to promote an informed understanding of war and military affairs through comprehensive, independent, and accessible open-source research and analysis. But they have also tended to focus the national security debate on a particular set of challenges related primarily to high-end conventional maneuver war. The desire to turn away from “endless wars” and focus on fighting the kinds of wars Americans think they prefer seriously undermines efforts to learn lessons from the last two decades of conflict or even from ongoing small-scale conflicts in which the U.S. may or may not be participating. Directed by Anthony Doublin. Security will become a private good leading to less public order and more anarchy. The U.S. must certainly prepare far better for such conflicts than it is currently on track to do, but it must also recognize that almost any future war will incorporate many features observed in the post-9/11 wars as well as in the hybrid war and gray zone approaches that Russia and China have been pioneering. The Modern War Institute (MWI) is a research center at West Point devoted to the rigorous study of contemporary conflict by convening interdisciplinary panels and speaker forums, providing rigorous policy-relevant research, and educating our future leaders on how to win on the modern battlefield. The Institute for the Study of War is launching a series of papers that explores the ways the United States, ... but it must also recognize that almost any future war will incorporate many features observed in the post-9/11 wars as well as in the hybrid war and gray zone approaches that … The United States reoriented its defense enterprise on great power competition and conventional challenges that Russia and China pose. With Daniel Bernhardt, Robert Z'Dar, Travis Brooks Stewart, Kazja. [3] The robust literature on military lessons learned exceeds what the authors can place in a proposal footnote. Future Institute. FutureWork is een nieuw gespecialiseerd uitzendbureau. We are dedicated to renewing the promise of America by continuing the quest to realize our nation's highest ideals, honestly confronting the challenges caused by rapid technological and social change, and seizing the opportunities those changes create. The Center on the Future of War explores the social, political, economic, and cultural implications of the changing nature of war and conflict. A human slave escapes from his extraterrestrial cyborg captors and lands on Earth, seeking asylum. U.S. is steering away from the focus on counter-terrorism operations that have preoccupied the U.S. for the past 19 years. A team of international mercenaries is sent into the middle of the battlefield to try and stop the madness. The Institute for the Study of War is launching a series of papers that explores the ways the United States, its competitors including Russia and China, and these and other potential adversaries are learning from ongoing geopolitical competition and military engagements. The Center connects ASU faculty with policymakers and national media, organizes collaborative research projects, produces reports and publications, and designs and implements innovative educational programming. FI supports Concept high school graduates as they embark on the next stages of their lives in college and careers. In effect, he has a vote in the competitive process we know as war, and does not have to play by our rules. These 10 examples of war could well blow up within the next few years. Military Learning and the Future of War. Col. Liam Collins, U.S. Army retired, is the former director of the Modern War Institute at West Point.As a career Special Forces officer, he conducted multiple combat deployments to Afghanistan and Iraq as well as operational deployments to Bosnia, Africa, and South America. Since 2008 Erickson has been an associate in research at Harvard’s Fairbank Center. Iraq’s endemic fragility creates space for foreign actors to play out their proxy battles, exacerbating Iraqi and regional instability in a mutually reinforcing cycle. Experimentation can occur before technologies are fielded and major wars erupt. Escalations have continued despite the redeployment of Russian forces to Ayn Issa. The series explores the ways these evolutions in the operating environment provide opportunities for experimentation and testing of new technologies, capabilities, and approaches to war. The Institute for the Study of War is therefore launching a series of papers that explores the ways the United States, its competitors including Russia and China, and these and other potential adversaries are learning from ongoing geopolitical competition and military engagements. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 Washington, DC 20036, about Belarus Warning Update: Kremlin Likely Contriving Amenable Government Structure in Belarus, about Belarus Warning Update: Promised Major Opposition Protest March Fizzles, about Syria Situation Report: December 2 - 15, 2020, about Iraq is Fragile, Not Hopeless: How Iraq’s Fragility Undermines Regional Stability, about Belarus Warning Update: Putin Will Increase Pressure on Lukashenko to Integrate Belarus in 2021, about People's Warfare against COVID-19: Testing China’s Military Medical and Defense Mobilization Capabilities, Putin's Offset: The Kremlin's Geopolitical Adaptations since 2014, Belarus Warning Update: Kremlin Likely Contriving Amenable Government Structure in Belarus, Belarus Warning Update: Promised Major Opposition Protest March Fizzles, Syria Situation Report: December 2 - 15, 2020, Iraq is Fragile, Not Hopeless: How Iraq’s Fragility Undermines Regional Stability, Belarus Warning Update: Putin Will Increase Pressure on Lukashenko to Integrate Belarus in 2021, People's Warfare against COVID-19: Testing China’s Military Medical and Defense Mobilization Capabilities. Sponsor: Speakers: Selena Larson Senior cyber threat analyst, Dragos, Inc. James Shires Assistant professor, Institute for Security and Global Affairs, Leiden University Thom Langford, moderator 5:00 ET: Belarusian opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanouskaya failed to marshal large protester turnout for her so-called “People’s Tribunal” on December 20. The discussion touches on a variety of topics related to the future of war… About —. Tikhanouskaya called for the protest to be the opposition’s largest turnout when she announced it on November 13. Small wars are catalysts for change that drive the best innovators and executors to imagine and prepare for future conflict. This episode features a conversation about innovation and the future battlefield and features two guests perfectly suited to discuss those topics. U.S. is steering away from the focus on counter-terrorism operations that have preoccupied the U.S. for the past 19 years. Your support makes our work possible, and helps spread a better understanding of current conflicts and emerging threats. New America and Arizona State University invite you to the 2018 Future of War Conference on April 9 in Washington, D.C. Military thinkers envisioning future conflict typically imagine returning to the large-scale wars of the past with new technologies. Warrior Maven Video Above: Why Advanced Stealth is Still "Very Hard to Hit" THE US ARMY IS WRONG ON FUTURE WAR. The Center on the Future of War explores the social, political, economic, and cultural implications of the changing nature of war and conflict. American military thinkers are suffering from these problems less than has been historically common. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a 501(c)(3) organization and produces strictly non-partisan, non-ideological, fact-based research. [2] For this criticism of current thought, Sean McFate, The New Rules of War: Victory in the Age of Durable Disorder (New York: William Morrow, 2019). The Modern War Institute does not screen articles to fit a particular editorial agenda, nor endorse or advocate material that is published. Jaan Tallinn is a founding engineer of Skype and Kazaa. The articles and other content which appear on the Modern War Institute website are unofficial expressions of opinion. And the U.S. is also focusing on a future operating environment shaped more by technology than geopolitics. 7:45 pm EDT: Russian President Vladimir Putin has used the ongoing crisis in Belarus to increase his sway over self-declared Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, who has long stonewalled Moscow’s persistent efforts to integrate Belarus into Russia. [2] They struggle to imagine new modes of warfare and the systems, organizations, and doctrine to use them well – particularly before the full revolutionary capabilities of new technology have come to fruition in ways that permit large-scale experimentation. The Institute for the Study of War is launching a series of papers that explores the ways the United States, its competitors including Russia and China, and these and other potential adversaries are learning from ongoing geopolitical competition and military engagements. Visit our 2019 conference website here!. The Russian and Chinese approaches to war and preparation for it, however, diverge in important ways. This panel features several chapter authors who contributed to the Cyber Program’s anthology book, Cyber War and Cyber Peace in the Middle East (2020). Read the latest report in ISW's Military Learning & The Future of War Series. The Modern War Institute does not screen articles to fit a particular editorial agenda, nor endorse or advocate material that is published. [4] Max Boot, Savage Wars of Peace and War Made New; David Kilcullen, The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a Big One (Oxford: 2009). The U.S. is falling behind in this intellectual race perhaps even more than in the technological race. The mission of the Institute for Future Warfare Studies (IFWS) is to serve as the focal point for the U.S. The stabilization of the Iraqi state remains strategically important to the US and worthy of a concerted policy effort. [4] The 1973 War partly inspired the development of U.S. Air-Land Battle Doctrine. Rather, the Modern War Institute provides a forum for professionals to share opinions and cultivate ideas. The advantage we are rapidly ceding to our adversaries is in the information and economic domains. They present to him a dinosaur collar found on the beach. Cato scholars aim to restore it. Naval War College (NWC)’s China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI). Two seminal studies in are Allan R. Millett and Williamson Murray, edd., Military Effectiveness, 3 vols., (Cambridge University Press, 1988), Stephen P. Rosen, Winning the Next War: Innovation and the Modern Military (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1992); for historical cases of this specific phenomenon: Dennis Showalter, Railroads and Rifles: Soldiers, Technology, and the Unification of Germany (Archon Books, 1975); J.F.C. The papers explore organizational adaptations to incorporate new capabilities, doctrinal changes to harness them, and the ability to institutionalize these changes in ways that will shape the future of war. Rather, the Modern War Institute provides a forum for professionals to share opinions and cultivate ideas. A run-away human slave from Earth's future escapes to the present. The Modern War Institute does not screen articles to fit a particular editorial agenda, nor endorse or advocate material that is published. [5] John L. Romjue, From Active Defense to AirLand Battle: The Development of Army Doctrine 1973-1982, TRADOC Army Historical Series, 1984); for a prescient case study that illuminates how Hezbollah and Iranian proxies learned lessons that they now are applying to fight the ongoing wars in Syria, Stephen Biddle and Jeff Friedman, The 2006 Lebanon Campaign and the Future of Warfare: Implications for Army and Defense Policy, Strategic Studies Institute: 2008, available at https://ssi.armywarcollege.edu/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=882. The impetus for this reorientation stems from a combination of factors: Return to the Military Learning & Future of War homepage, https://dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2018-National-Defense-Strategy-Summary.pdf, https://ssi.armywarcollege.edu/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=882. The United States reoriented its defense enterprise on great power competition and conventional challenges that Russia and China pose. New America and Arizona State University invite you to the Future of War Conference 2017 on March 21 in Washington, D.C. Future Institute of Higher Education and Training (FIL), previously known as Future Institute for Ladies (FCL). Americans are thus more inclined to theorize about how war might evolve given changes in technology than to observe how it is evolving. ... Join the U.S. Warrior Maven. The Institute for the Study of War is launching a series of papers that explores the ways the United States, its competitors including Russia and China, and these and other potential adversaries are learning from ongoing geopolitical competition and military engagements. As such, it is inevitable that today’s younger generation will experience war. Andrew Erickson is a professor of strategy in the U.S. Nathan Jennings, Amos Fox and Adam Taliaferro | December 18, 2018. In this episode, MWI's John Amble talks to Martha Wells, author of the four-volume science fiction series The Murderbot Diaries.She discusses how the books' central figure—a hybrid being with living tissue but equipped with artificial intelligence—can help us think about robotics, AI, and manned-unmanned teaming on the future battlefield. As the leading strategic foresight and futurology management consultants to executive leadership teams worldwide, FTI’s data-driven applied research reveals trends and calculates how they will disrupt business, government and society. ... is a human being with the capacity to reason creatively. [6] Stephen P. Rosen, Winning the Next War: Innovation and the Modern Military (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1992); Mary R. Habeck, Storm of Steel: The Development of Armor Doctrine in Germany and the Soviet Union, 1919-1939 (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, Reprint 2014). The event will feature leaders from government, military, journalism, academia, and the private sector exploring questions of international security and defense, including: The advent of a new generation of advanced weapons systems including hypersonic missiles, drones and other unmanned systems, augmented by artificial intelligence, machine learning, and other information technologies. The Center connects ASU faculty with policymakers and national media, organizes collaborative research projects, produces reports and publications, and designs and implements innovative educational programming. The U.S. is in a learning race as much as a technology race. Certainly there are both revolutionary and evolutionary changes in the conduct of war. Naval War College (NWC) actions to support identifying and defining the future warfare trends, and associated roles and missions for the future Navy. Fuller, “Plan 1919,” in Memoirs of an Unconventional Soldier, 1938, in which he imagines fighting one-sided, uncontested armored warfare using tanks as if they are at sea rather than on terrain. The worst-case scenario sees the use of PSCs as an unleashing of the dogs of war that will undermine democratic control of force and security as a public good. The capture of Ayn Issa would grant Turkey control of a portion of the M4 highway, interrupting SDF ground lines of communication from the areas it governs in western Syria to those in eastern Syria. Singer on the future of war. Independent Russian news outlet “The Insider” published several documents allegedly from internal Kremlin discussions on December 25 outlining Kremlin plans to maximize Russian influence over the Belarusian government through shaping constitutional amendments and restructuring. The West has had some success in countering the Kremlin since Russia’s illegal occupation of Crimea, but Russian President Vladimir Putin has found ways to offset external pressures on Russia without relinquishing his gains and goals. But will their efforts be in vain? The private sector also increasingly fi… The Chinese state and military’s coordinated nationwide response to the COVID-19 pandemic tested their national defense mobilization and civil-military fusion strategies; capabilities that China would use in response to potential future crises and conflicts, including with the United States and its allies. Turkey appears to want to avoid direct confrontation with Russia and will likely attempt to attack SDF positions and take control of the city without firing upon nearby Russian forces. Naval War College (NWC) actions to support identifying and defining the future warfare trends, and associated roles and missions for the future Navy. Sometime in the not-too-distant future, the whole of Asia is embroiled in a nuclear war that threatens all life on earth. It errs as well in framing the Chinese and Russian threats as more similar than they are, lumping both into the category of “great power competition” with a focus on conventional military capability. [1] “Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy of the United States of America: Sharpening the American Military’s Competitive Edge,” January 2018, https://dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2018-National-Defense-Strategy-Summary.pdf. With Mike Cassey, Bob Couttie, Mitch Frankenburger, Paul Holmes. No matter how enlightened we become or how much our technology changes, we’ll still spend our time killing one another. This episode of the Modern War Institute Podcast features a conversation with Lt. Gen. Eric Wesley, deputy commanding general of Army Futures Command and director of the Futures and Concepts Center. The Modern War Institute does not screen articles to fit a particular editorial agenda, nor endorse or advocate material that is published. The U.S. National Defense Strategy of 2018 was an inflection point. America’s current strategy for responding to the Russian threat is based on a misunderstanding of the Russian approach to war and exposes the United States and its allies to a high risk of strategic defeats. Directed by Matthew E. Rosen. [5] Peacetime sometimes produces new, challenging, and innovative modes of warfare; even states that lack the resources for widescale modernization can use interwar periods to experiment and learn.[6]. Leaders from government, military, journalism, academia, and the private sector will explore pressing issues in … Show Modern War Institute, Ep The Conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh is Giving Us a Glimpse into the Future of War - Oct 13, 2020 In this episode Dr. Jack Watling, Research Fellow for Land Warfare at the Royal United Services Institute, discusses the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan that has erupted since late September surrounding the disputed territory of Nagorno-Karabakh. FoWI’s researchers focus on how people contribute to and benefit from new knowledge and practices, and their mission is … Historically, interwar periods are rarely periods of peace, but rather periods of smaller conflicts. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 Washington, DC 20036. The Chinese are learning lessons from their historical and current pandemic and disaster relief operations, their special operations, wargaming, and observing other actors such as Russia overseas. Future Weapons; West Point War Institute: The Army is Wrong on the Future of War. [3] They remain excessively focused on the challenges of high-end conventional conflict without taking adequate account of the transformation particularly in Russian military thinking around the concept of hybrid war, in which military operations are subordinated to informational objectives. The Future of Work Institute (FoWI) promotes productive and meaningful work as essential foundations of a healthy economy and society. Our adversaries, and particularly Russia (and Iran), are now aggressively experimenting with new concepts and techniques in small wars, overseas engagements, and domestic crises. Iran has been escalating its attacks on American and allied targets since May 2019. Part of the driving force behind the urgency of the 2018 National Defense Strategy, which the Congressionally-mandated commission to review the NDS itself found not urgent enough, is precisely the concern that recent American defense budgets have not allocated sufficient resources to meet these coming challenges. The Russians are conducting extensive lessons-learned activities based on their experiences fighting in Syria and Ukraine, and are constantly updating their theory, doctrine, organization, and practice based on those lessons. Preparing for one does not automatically ensure adequate preparation for the other. Co-founder, Skype Jaan Tallinn. These are the capabilities China would use to move from peacetime to wartime in response to potential future crises and conflicts, including with the United States and its allies. Rather, the Modern War Institute provides a forum for professionals to share opinions and cultivate ideas. There are two views. Among the documents are a framework for gaining political and social influence in Belarus, a speech by Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) General Vladimir Chernov seemingly to Kremlin officials on an unknown occasion outlining the role of Kremlin-amenable Belarusian politicians in constitutional reform, a list of Belarusian “assets,” and the foundational document for a new Kremlin-run political party in Belarus. Of international mercenaries is sent into the middle of the Institute for future conflict rather, the War. Being with the capacity to reason creatively War Institute provides a forum for professionals to share and..., Suite 515 Washington, DC 20036 seeks to promote an informed understanding of current conflicts and threats. Evolutionary changes in technology than geopolitics the not-too-distant future, the Modern War Institute provides a for. The United States reoriented its defense enterprise on great power competition and conventional that. 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